Suwon City FCvs
Asan Mugunghwa
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/25/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon City FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suwon City FC 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa
Original prediction
Suwon City FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.5% | 54.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.4% | 24.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 23.1% | 21.4% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Suwon City FC
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Suwon City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00