Suwon Bluewingsvs
Hwaseong
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 2 · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suwon Bluewings · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Suwon Bluewings 1-0 Hwaseong, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Suwon Bluewings 3-2 Hwaseong
Original prediction
Suwon Bluewings
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.8% | 52.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.8% | 26.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.5% | 21.2% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Projected Score
Suwon Bluewings 1–0 Hwaseong
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Suwon Bluewings
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
Suwon Bluewings has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00