Sutton Utdvs
West Bromwich Albion U21
COMPLETEDEngland · National League Cup · 10/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutton Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sutton Utd 3-2 West Bromwich Albion U21
Original prediction
Sutton Utd
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.6% | 41.0% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.4% | 27.4% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.0% | 31.5% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Sutton Utd
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Sutton Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40