GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Notts County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Sutton Utd are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Notts County are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Notts County hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (38.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the League Two, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Notts County

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Notts County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sutton UtdLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Notts CountyDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sutton UtdNotts County
42.8Attack64.5
39.1Defence37.7
30.4Form44.2
38.9Power49.4
1.66xG2.22
View match centre →