Sutton Utdvs
Hartlepool
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League · 8/22/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutton Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sutton Utd are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hartlepool are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutton Utd hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the National League, while Sutton Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutton Utd
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
9.8%
Sutton Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00