Sutton Utdvs
Forest Green
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutton Utd · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sutton Utd 3-3 Forest Green
Original prediction
Sutton Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.4% | 39.6% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.3% | 28.3% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.3% | 32.1% | -5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Sutton Utd
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Sutton Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20