Sutton Utdvs
Crawley Town
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crawley Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sutton Utd are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Crawley Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Crawley Town hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the EFL Trophy, while Crawley Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crawley Town
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Crawley Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40