Sutton Utdvs
Boreham Wood
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boreham Wood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sutton Utd 0-2 Boreham Wood
Original prediction
Boreham Wood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.10 | 22.3% | 19.7% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.6% | 23.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 52.1% | 56.9% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Boreham Wood
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
56.9%
Boreham Wood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80