Sutton Utdvs
Aston Villa U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/19/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutton Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sutton Utd are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Aston Villa U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutton Utd hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Sutton Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutton Utd
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Sutton Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00