Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sutjeska are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mornar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutjeska hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 21.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sutjeska holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
10.9%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00