UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Sutjeska

Sutjeska

Home
LL
02
Full time
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

Away
WW
Stadion Kraj Bistrice
GoalVio prediction
59% confidence
Kairat Almaty(59%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Kairat Almaty
Win probability
Sutjeska
19%
Draw
22%
Kairat Almaty
59%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sutjeska
18
Kairat Almaty
73
Defence
Sutjeska
27
Kairat Almaty
82
Momentum
Sutjeska
0
Kairat Almaty
100
Danger (xG)
Sutjeska
0.45
Kairat Almaty
1.80
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sutjeska)
0.45
avg per match
xG for (Kairat Almaty)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Sutjeska)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kairat Almaty)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SutjeskaSutjeska
LLW
Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
WWW

Probability breakdown

59% confidence
Sutjeska19%
Draw22%
Kairat Almaty59%

Kairat Almaty leads with 59% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sutjeska head into this in UEFA Champions League fixture at Stadion Kraj Bistrice in mixed form (LL), while Kairat Almaty arrive in decent form (WW). Sutjeska have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Kairat Almaty over 2 games.

Tactically, Kairat Almaty hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Sutjeska defence (27/100), while Sutjeska's attack faces a watertight Kairat Almaty backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Sutjeska have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Kairat Almaty have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per away game.

Kairat Almaty have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 2 of the last 2 encounters, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Kairat Almaty to win with 59% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Sutjeska 1929%, Draw 2206%, Kairat Almaty 5864%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Sutjeska 0Draws 02 Kairat Almaty
Avg goals: 2.5BTTS in 1/2
15 Jul 2026
Sutjeska
L02
Kairat Almaty
8 Jul 2026
Sutjeska
L12
Kairat Almaty

Recent form

Sutjeska

Sutjeska

L
vs Kairat Almaty
15 Jul 2026
02
L
@ Kairat Almaty
8 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Dečić
16 May 2026
10
Kairat Almaty

Kairat Almaty

W
@ Sutjeska
15 Jul 2026
20
W
vs Sutjeska
8 Jul 2026
21
W
@ Okzhetpes
27 Jun 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts Kairat Almaty to win with 59% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more