Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dečić · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sutjeska 0-1 Dečić, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sutjeska 2-0 Dečić
Original prediction
Dečić
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.1% | 30.1% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 30.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 26.2% | 39.7% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Projected Score
Sutjeska 0–1 Dečić
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Dečić
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Dečić has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SutjeskaWDWDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DečićDLWWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SutjeskaDečić
0.0Attack50.9
100.0Defence75.0
33.3Form64.8
45.3Power64.4
0.61xG1.20