Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sutjeska 0-0 Bokelj, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sutjeska 4-0 Bokelj
Original prediction
Sutjeska
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.5% | 42.8% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.8% | 35.5% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 5.09 | 17.8% | 21.7% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Projected Score
Sutjeska 0–0 Bokelj
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SutjeskaDWWWD
GF 5 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
BokeljWDWLD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SutjeskaBokelj
36.7Attack29.2
76.7Defence79.2
50.0Form50.0
54.6Power54.3
0.67xG0.43