GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutjeska · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sutjeska are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Arsenal Tivat are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutjeska hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sutjeska holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutjeska

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SutjeskaLWWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Arsenal TivatDDLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SutjeskaArsenal Tivat
37.5Attack44.4
58.3Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
43.5Power38.9
1.77xG1.11
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