Sutjeskavs
Arsenal Tivat
COMPLETEDMontenegro · First League · 8/6/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutjeska · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Sutjeska are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arsenal Tivat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutjeska hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 43.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the First League, while Sutjeska holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sutjeska
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Sutjeska has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20