GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 3/6/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutherland Sharks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sutherland Sharks are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Western Sydney W. II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutherland Sharks hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sutherland Sharks holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutherland Sharks

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sutherland SharksWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Western Sydney W. IILLWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Sutherland SharksWestern Sydney W. II
53.1Attack61.9
58.0Defence46.4
53.1Form41.7
56.3Power48.7
1.89xG1.40
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