GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 8/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutherland Sharks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sutherland Sharks are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SD Raiders are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutherland Sharks hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sutherland Sharks holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutherland Sharks

Probability

55.2%

Model confidence

11.2%

Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sutherland SharksDWWDL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
SD RaidersLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sutherland SharksSD Raiders
53.1Attack50.0
58.0Defence44.0
53.1Form45.2
56.3Power48.1
1.97xG1.14
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