GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/23/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sutherland Sharks · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sutherland Sharks are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sutherland Sharks hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the New South Wales NPL, while Sutherland Sharks holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sutherland Sharks

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

13.3%

Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sutherland SharksDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NWS SpiritLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sutherland SharksNWS Spirit
53.1Attack41.7
58.0Defence56.0
53.1Form44.0
56.3Power48.0
1.56xG0.94
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