Sutherland Sharksvs
Manly United
COMPLETEDAustralia · New South Wales NPL · 9/2/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutherland Sharks · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sutherland Sharks 1-1 Manly United
Original prediction
Sutherland Sharks
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.3% | 42.7% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.6% | 26.3% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.1% | 31.0% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Sutherland Sharks
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Sutherland Sharks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20