Sutherland Sharks U20vs
SD Raiders U20
COMPLETEDAustralia · Npl Nsw U20 · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sutherland Sharks U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sutherland Sharks U20 11-3 SD Raiders U20
Original prediction
Sutherland Sharks U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.6% | 52.1% | 7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.9% | 18.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.5% | 29.1% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Sutherland Sharks U20
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Sutherland Sharks U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80