Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Surkhon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Surkhon 0-0 Xorazm, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Surkhon 0-0 Xorazm
Original prediction
Surkhon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.3% | 40.5% | -1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 28.5% | 31.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 3.11 | 29.1% | 27.7% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
Surkhon 0–0 Xorazm
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Surkhon
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Surkhon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SurkhonDWLWL
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
XorazmDLLDL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SurkhonXorazm
27.5Attack29.0
59.4Defence50.7
39.1Form31.9
44.7Power39.9
0.88xG0.63