Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogdiana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Surkhon 1-3 Sogdiana
Original prediction
Sogdiana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Sogdiana
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
12.8%
Sogdiana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SurkhonLWLLW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SogdianaWWLLW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SurkhonSogdiana
31.3Attack56.3
52.1Defence29.2
37.5Form37.5
42.9Power42.3
1.42xG1.47