Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Olmaliq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Surkhon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Olmaliq are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Olmaliq hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Super League, while Olmaliq holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Olmaliq
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
13.3%
Olmaliq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60