Surkhonvs
Kokand-1912
COMPLETEDUzbekistan · Super League · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Surkhon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Surkhon 0-0 Kokand-1912, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Surkhon 1-0 Kokand-1912
Original prediction
Surkhon
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.7% | 38.2% | -1.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.5% | 31.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.03 | 29.8% | 30.0% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Projected Score
Surkhon 0–0 Kokand-1912
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Surkhon
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Surkhon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SurkhonLWLDD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Kokand-1912LLDDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SurkhonKokand-1912
28.6Attack30.2
55.6Defence54.0
36.5Form31.7
42.9Power41.3
0.85xG0.73