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Surkhon logoSurkhonvsAndijan logoAndijan

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Uzbekistan · Super League · 3/11/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Andijan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Surkhon are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Andijan are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WDLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Andijan hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Super League, while Andijan holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Andijan

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

42.8%

Andijan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SurkhonLLLD

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.25/2.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
AndijanWDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
SurkhonAndijan
31.4Attack43.1
49.0Defence60.8
35.3Form41.2
41.3Power48.6
0.77xG1.23
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