Surinamevs
Martinique
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 9/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suriname · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suriname 2-1 Martinique
Original prediction
Suriname
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.1% | 46.9% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 26.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 5.36 | 17.1% | 26.3% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Suriname
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Suriname has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40