Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suriname · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Suriname 0-0 Guatemala
Original prediction
Suriname
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.9% | 44.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.4% | 25.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.6% | 30.3% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Suriname
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Suriname has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SurinameWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GuatemalaWLLLL
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
SurinameGuatemala
83.3Attack100.0
50.0Defence50.0
100.0Form50.0
83.3Power60.5
2.17xG1.58