GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/18/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Surfers Paradise Apollo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Surfers Paradise Apollo are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while WDSC Wolves are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Surfers Paradise Apollo hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (76.2 v 70.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Queensland Premier League, while Surfers Paradise Apollo holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Surfers Paradise Apollo

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Surfers Paradise Apollo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Surfers Paradise ApolloDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
WDSC WolvesDDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Surfers Paradise ApolloWDSC Wolves
91.7Attack69.4
66.7Defence65.3
76.4Form75.0
76.2Power70.1
2.11xG1.30
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