Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sur 3-1 Smail
Original prediction
Sur
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 19:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Sur
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SurLLLDL
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SmailDLWLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
SurSmail
42.9Attack22.2
52.4Defence44.4
57.1Form27.8
53.2Power34.9
1.62xG0.89