Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oman Club · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sur 0-1 Oman Club, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sur 2-1 Oman Club
Original prediction
Oman Club
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.96 | 18.3% | 23.3% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 27.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 55.1% | 48.9% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Projected Score
Sur 0–1 Oman Club
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Oman Club
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Oman Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SurLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Oman ClubLWLLW
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SurOman Club
26.7Attack25.0
6.7Defence75.0
0.0Form50.0
16.1Power51.8
0.76xG1.35