Supra du Quebecvs
York United
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Supra du Quebec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Supra du Quebec 3-0 York United
Original prediction
Supra du Quebec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 57.8% | 59.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.04 | 22.5% | 18.5% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 19.7% | 22.5% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Supra du Quebec
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
59.0%
Supra du Quebec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00