Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec
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Vancouver FC
AwayThe model sees this as an open match — all three outcomes are within a tight range.
The model projects 1.91 xG for Supra du Quebec and 1.91 xG for Vancouver FC — strong and strong attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-2 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.00), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.
The model projects a combined xG of 3.81 — high attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 1-2 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. With both sides generating high xG, multiple scoreline combinations in the probability grid exceed 2.5 goals.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Supra du Quebec's Attack Score (34) vs Vancouver FC's Defensive Stability (53) and Vancouver FC's attack (98) vs Supra du Quebec's defence (27) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesSupra du QuebecVancouver FCProbability breakdown
Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw
Supra du Quebec host Vancouver FC in Canadian Premier League. Supra du Quebec have recorded LLWLWL in recent matches while Vancouver FC arrive with a run of LWLLWW. These sides have met 2 times recently, averaging 4.0 goals per game.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Vancouver FC enter this fixture with a significantly stronger Momentum Score (67 vs 0). Momentum captures the trajectory of recent performances — not just results, but the underlying quality of those performances. Vancouver FC are trending upward while Supra du Quebec have been less consistent, and that gap is the primary driver of this projection.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Vancouver FC, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Supra du Quebec score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.00 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
- ⚠With both teams expected to score, the game could remain open until the final whistle — late goals are a real possibility.
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
Head to head
Recent form
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC?
GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 40% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC?
A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.
Will both teams score in Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.