Supra du Quebecvs
Pacific FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Supra du Quebec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Supra du Quebec 5-0 Pacific FC
Original prediction
Supra du Quebec
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.8% | 47.3% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 23.0% | 24.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.2% | 28.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Supra du Quebec
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Supra du Quebec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60