Supra du Quebecvs
HFX Wanderers FC
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 9/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Supra du Quebec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Supra du Quebec 0-2 HFX Wanderers FC
Original prediction
Supra du Quebec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.8% | 47.7% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.2% | 21.8% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.0% | 30.5% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Supra du Quebec
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Supra du Quebec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60