Supra du Quebecvs
Forge
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Championship · 9/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Supra du Quebec 1-1 Forge
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 25.3% | 34.8% | 9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 25.3% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 48.6% | 39.8% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.44 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Supra du QuebecWDLLD
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ForgeLWWLL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Supra du QuebecForge
100.0Attack77.8
44.4Defence77.8
77.8Form77.8
75.3Power76.6
1.79xG1.75