Supra du Quebecvs
Forge
COMPLETEDCanada · Canadian Premier League · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forge · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Supra du Quebec 1-0 Forge
Original prediction
Forge
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.24 | 28.0% | 17.5% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.0% | 21.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 46.0% | 60.9% | 14.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Forge
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Forge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00