Super Novavs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 9/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Super Nova 1-0 Tukums
Original prediction
Super Nova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.2% | 45.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.7% | 24.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.10 | 29.1% | 30.6% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Super NovaWDDLL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TukumsWLLLW
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Super NovaTukums
34.6Attack49.4
53.1Defence32.2
39.5Form26.4
44.6Power37.1
1.56xG1.25