Super Novavs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 5/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Super Nova are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tukums are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20