Super Novavs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/19/2023, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Super Nova are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Tukums are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.75/1.25