Super NovavsRiga

Super Nova are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Riga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.