Super Novavs
Rīgas FS
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 10/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rīgas FS · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Super Nova 0-2 Rīgas FS, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Super Nova 0-3 Rīgas FS
Original prediction
Rīgas FS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12.93 | 7.0% | 18.5% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.60 | 13.8% | 22.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 79.2% | 58.8% | -20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.3 pts
Projected Score
Super Nova 0–2 Rīgas FS
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Rīgas FS
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Rīgas FS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Super NovaLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Rīgas FSWWWDW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Super NovaRīgas FS
32.3Attack81.8
52.5Defence75.8
38.4Form83.8
43.4Power79.6
0.51xG2.38