Super NovavsRīgas FS

Super Nova are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rīgas FS are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rīgas FS hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.7% in the Virsliga, while Rīgas FS holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.