Super Novavs
Grobiņa
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Super Nova 1-0 Grobiņa, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Super Nova 2-1 Grobiņa
Original prediction
Super Nova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 38.6% | 42.8% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.5% | 30.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.9% | 27.0% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Super Nova 1–0 Grobiņa
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Super NovaLLWWD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
GrobiņaDDLWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Super NovaGrobiņa
32.2Attack22.6
55.6Defence44.1
38.9Form28.0
44.5Power34.1
1.20xG0.65