VirsligaVirsliga
Monday, 20 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Super Nova

Super Nova

Home
W
20
Full time
Grobiņa

Grobiņa

Away
W
Jana Skredela stadions
GoalVio prediction
37% confidence
Draw(30%)
Win probability
Super Nova
36%
Draw
30%
Grobiņa
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Super Nova
73
Grobiņa
94
Defence
Super Nova
66
Grobiņa
66
Momentum
Super Nova
100
Grobiņa
100
Danger (xG)
Super Nova
1.80
Grobiņa
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Super Nova)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Grobiņa)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Super Nova)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Grobiņa)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Super NovaSuper Nova
WLLWD
GrobiņaGrobiņa
WLWDD

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Super Nova36%
Draw30%
Grobiņa34%

Super Nova leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Super Nova head into this in Virsliga fixture at Jana Skredela stadions in mixed form (W), while Grobiņa arrive in mixed form (W). Super Nova have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Grobiņa over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Super Nova (66/100) and Grobiņa (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Super Nova have won 1 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game at home. Grobiņa have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Super Nova and Grobiņa in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 37% confidence. Win probabilities: Super Nova 3604%, Draw 3040%, Grobiņa 3356%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Super Nova

Super Nova

W
@ Tukums
1 Jul 2026
21
L
vs FS Jelgava
25 Jun 2026
15
L
vs Auda
21 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Ogre United
16 May 2026
31
D
vs Tukums
11 May 2026
11
Grobiņa

Grobiņa

W
vs Tukums
5 Jul 2026
31
L
@ FS Jelgava
29 Jun 2026
02
W
vs Auda
25 Jun 2026
10
D
vs Tukums
15 May 2026
33
D
vs FS Jelgava
11 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Super Nova vs Grobiņa?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Grobiņa?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Super Nova vs Grobiņa?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Super Nova vs Grobiņa?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more