Super Novavs
FS Jelgava
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 3/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Super Nova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Super Nova are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Super Nova hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Virsliga, while Super Nova holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Super Nova
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Super Nova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40