GGOALVIO

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Latvia · Virsliga · 5/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Auda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Super Nova are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Auda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Auda hold an 18.2-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Virsliga, while Auda holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Auda

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

13.4%

Auda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Super NovaWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AudaWWDLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Super NovaAuda
36.1Attack54.2
48.6Defence63.9
37.5Form63.9
43.0Power61.2
0.80xG1.63
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