Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Sunnersta are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Lidingö are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 36.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.7% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
90.7%
Model confidence
90.7%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80