Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Sunnersta are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Korsnäs are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold a 51.3-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
93.6%
Model confidence
93.6%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60