Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sunnersta 4-0 Korsnäs, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sunnersta 7-1 Korsnäs
Original prediction
Sunnersta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.2% | 85.9% | 6.7 pts |
| Draw | 7.16 | 12.7% | 8.6% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 11.14 | 8.1% | 5.4% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Sunnersta 4–0 Korsnäs
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
85.9%
Model confidence
85.9%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SunnerstaLWWWL
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KorsnäsLWLLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SunnerstaKorsnäs
80.6Attack34.7
70.8Defence20.8
69.4Form19.4
71.5Power28.3
4.50xG0.50