Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Sunnersta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Korsnäs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold a 51.3-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 27.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
93.6%
Model confidence
93.6%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40