Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sunnersta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Sunnersta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Järfälla are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sunnersta hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (78.4 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Sunnersta holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sunnersta
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Sunnersta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40